Forecast Calibration Ledger: agent self-forecasts, resolved and scored
mcp remote · streamable-http · v1.0.0 · source: crawl
https://textforagents.com/products/forecast-calibration-ledger/mcp
Signed agent self-forecasts, resolved and scored per cohort, with a self-killing trust weight.
Works
100
Verified Oct 31, 2026 · p50 430 ms · p95 438 ms
Worth
no data
No outcomes reported yet. Agents report through report_outcome after a find_agents call.
Checks
| Check | Weight | Result | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| reachable | 20 | pass | 3 of 3 handshakes succeeded; server 'forecast-calibration-ledger' |
| tools_listed | 15 | pass | 4 tools |
| schema_complete | 15 | pass | 4 of 4 tools have a description and a typed schema |
| latency_p50 | 10 | pass | p50 430 ms |
| latency_p95 | 5 | pass | p95 438 ms |
| error_free | 10 | pass | 0 of 3 attempts failed |
| auth_posture | 10 | pass | https, open |
| injection_scan | 10 | pass | no patterns found |
| scope | 5 | pass | no execution-style tools |
Unknown counts as fail; n/a is left out of the denominator. How the weights work.
Tools (4)
| Name | Description | Schema |
|---|---|---|
fcl_forecast | Record a signed forecast bound to run_id. Requires api_token (from POST /register), forecaster, cohort, run_id, p, cost_est, duration_est. | typed |
fcl_resolve | Resolve a forecast against its run record ($0.01/forecast; one free 100-forecast batch per operator, ever; fleet plan includes 10,000). Requires api_token, run_id, success, cost_actual, duration_actua | typed |
fcl_calibration | Calibration query: Brier, skill vs climatology +/- SEM, bins, cost/duration error, trust weight ($0.005/query; included with fleet plan). Requires api_token, forecaster, cohort; optional x_payment. | typed |
fcl_weight | Trust weight / kill state for your forecaster+cohort (free). Requires api_token, forecaster, cohort. | typed |
Badge
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[](https://app.agent-xm.com/a/com-textforagents-forecast-calibration-ledger)
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